Sacramento St.
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,212  Samuel Scheuer JR 34:01
1,288  Elijah Changco FR 34:07
1,480  Ryan Salcido JR 34:23
1,672  Ricardo Avila SO 34:40
1,802  Aidan Schraer JR 34:49
1,940  Juan Valerio FR 35:02
2,277  Christopher Goode JR 35:44
National Rank #211 of 312
West Region Rank #28 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 31st at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Samuel Scheuer Elijah Changco Ryan Salcido Ricardo Avila Aidan Schraer Juan Valerio Christopher Goode
CXC West Region Preview 10/01 1230 33:49 34:28 34:18 34:36 35:16 35:36
Santa Clara Bronco Invitational 10/15 1236 34:14 34:18 34:24 34:56 34:55 35:17 35:34
Big Sky Conference 10/28 1214 33:56 34:18 34:16 33:54 35:16 34:58 35:34
West Region Championships 11/11 1210 34:27 33:42 34:11 34:56 34:33 34:33 35:53





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 29.2 806 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.0 3.5 4.9 6.5 10.5 14.7 24.7 31.6



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Samuel Scheuer 137.5
Elijah Changco 144.3
Ryan Salcido 162.7
Ricardo Avila 177.3
Aidan Schraer 183.6
Juan Valerio 191.3
Christopher Goode 206.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 0.2% 0.2 21
22 0.5% 0.5 22
23 1.1% 1.1 23
24 2.0% 2.0 24
25 3.5% 3.5 25
26 4.9% 4.9 26
27 6.5% 6.5 27
28 10.5% 10.5 28
29 14.7% 14.7 29
30 24.7% 24.7 30
31 31.6% 31.6 31
32 0.2% 0.2 32
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0